May 1 Poll: Tories in lead by 5.5 points,

May 1 Poll: Tories in lead by 5.5 points,

本帖最後由 Aquila128 於 2-5-2011 10:22 編輯

CTV.ca News Staff
Sat. Apr. 2 2011
8:30 AM ET

The latest CTV News/Globe/Nanos poll shows Conservatives ahead by 11 points, one week into the campaign for a May 2 federal election.

QUESTION: For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.


A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey.


Since the beginning of the campaign last Saturday, Liberals have seen a 4-point increase in support, and that's come mainly at the expense of the NDP's support, which has dropped 4 points.

The latest numbers from Nanos Research, April 1 numbers, with March 15 numbers in brackets:

  • Conservatives: 41.3 per cent (Mar. 15: 38.6 per cent)
  • Liberals: 30.3 per cent (27.6)
  • NDP 16.0 per cent (19.9)
  • Bloc Quebecois: 8.5 per cent (10.1)
  • Green Party: 3.7 per cent (3.8)

Support for the Stephen Harper's Conservatives remain strong across the country, and this week's rise was largely driven by a positive marginal increase in support among Quebecers.

In mid-March, Conservative support in Quebec was at 19.6 per cent. As of Friday April 1, it trended upward to 26.7 per cent.

Policy was still cited by one of two Canadians (52.0 per cent) as the most important vote driver followed by party leader at 22.2 per cent.

Notes on this poll:
Random telephone sample of 983 Decided Canadians, Mar 30 to Apr 1, accurate ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.

The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2006 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.

Click here for Nanos Research polls, with full details on methodology and charts tracking the numbers since election day '08.

Watch
http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20110402/nanos-ctv-globe-poll-110402/20110402?s_name=election2011
1

評分次數

  • nights

..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
等到4月尾先啦,重有成個月玩,變數好多。
支持廢除參議院,105個人大代表有什麼用途?加國問題核就是費海提(Flaherty)和哈珀的死硬右派意識形態,衰退時期還不做需要的。理想:在香港執政,有可能嗎?女性衛生用品要附GST就是攻擊女性,NDP請用邏輯思考。
40.7%
29.4%
16.9%
8.0%
4.0%

Nanos Poll Results as of April 2, 2011.

Regional Ballot of Committed Voters - April 2

A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey.

http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...

Conservative lead stretches to 14 points, poll shows


Stephen Harper takes part in a Conservative campaign rally in London on Sunday, April 3, 2011. (Sean Kilpatrick / THE CANADIAN PRESS)



Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff looks down while speaking during his platform launch in Ottawa on Sunday, April 3, 2011. (Nathan Denette / THE CANADIAN PRESS)


NDP Leader Jack Layton greets supporters while visiting a sugar shack in Gatineau, Que., on Sunday, April 3, 2011. (Paul Chiasson / THE CANADIAN PRESS)


Watch and read the full story.

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20110404/election-poll-conservative-lead-grows-110404/20110404?s_name=election2011&no_ads=

Nanos Poll Results

42.3%
28.4%
16.4%
8.0%
3.8%

A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 3, 2011.


http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20110404/harper-ontario-riding-110404/20110404?s_name=election2011
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
QUESTION:
For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.

A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 4, 2011.


Nanos Poll Results
39.8%
30.2%
16.5%
8.3%
4.0%

Full poll results and methodology

http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
QUESTION: For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.


A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 6, 2011


Nanos Poll Results
39.6%
30.4%
17.2%
8.3%
3.2%

Full poll results and methodology

http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
Nanos Poll Results
40.6%
31.1%
14.9%
8.7%
3.4%




A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 7, 2011


QUESTION: For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
本帖最後由 Aquila128 於 13-4-2011 08:41 編輯

QUESTION: For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.


A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 8, 2011.


Regional Ballot of Committed Voters - April 8

CTV
Tories lead in two regions, tied with Liberals in rest of Canada

http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
According to the today’s poll results of Nanos Research, I guess some of the NDP votes will swing to the Liberals. As a result, NDP will lose some of its incumbent seat and the final seats hold could be fewer than twenty.
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...
本帖最後由 Aquila128 於 13-4-2011 08:42 編輯

Nanos Poll Results
39.5%
31.6%
14.7%
8.1%
4.8%

QUESTION: For those parties you would consider for federally, could you please rank your two top current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference) - Three Day Rolling Average.

A CTV/Globe/Nanos survey as of April 9, 2011.



Liberals trend up in Quebec over past four nights - April 9

http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html
..love is like the wind, you can not see it but you can feel it...